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Simulation modelling to develop an index of inherent risk of nitrogen losses to water from New Zealand’s agricultural lands

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conference contribution
posted on 2023-09-13, 02:44 authored by Rogerio Chicota, Linda Lilburne, Andrew Tait, Val SnowVal Snow

Maintaining and improving water quality (surface and ground) in New Zealand is a priority issue for the public, government, and rural sector. Regional government bodies are required to give effect to the National Policy Statement for Freshwater Management in their regional plans. This requires a tool to assess the risk of nutrient losses from farmed landscapes which (a) is evidence based; (b) addresses both inherent and anthropogenic drivers of risk; and (c) is suitable for usage at the farm scale.

We used simulation modelling deploying APSIM NextGeneration (Holzworth et al., 2018) combined with databases of historical weather (Tait et al., 2015) and mapped soil properties (Lilburne et al., 2012) to generate indices of inherent (i.e., non-anthropogenic) risk of nitrogen losses to water across New Zealand (Figure 1). This presentation will discuss the development of the methods and its limitation for assessing risk at the point scale.

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Rights statement

© 2023 The Authors and Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc. (MSSANZ). These proceedings are licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International CC BY License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you attribute MSSANZ and the original author(s) and source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence and indicate if changes were made.

Publication date

2023-07-09

Project number

  • Non revenue

Language

  • English

Does this contain Māori information or data?

  • No

Publisher

Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc.

ISBN

978-0-9872143-0-0

Conference name

25th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2023)

Conference location

Darwin, Northern Territory

Conference start date

2023-07-09

Conference end date

2023-07-13

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